Omaha
W-L: (12-24) PR = 97.7455Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 6- 2 1011 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4 1024 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 4- 5 1025 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 5- 2 1031 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 3- 2 1101 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 5- 4 1107 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 7 1108 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 1114 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 2- 5 1115 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 2- 0 1121 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 7 1122 A Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 4 1128 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 2 1129 H Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 1 1212 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 1213 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 1219 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 7 1220 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 102 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 4- 6 103 H Cornell ECAC (23-11, 98.5) 2- 3 109 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 6- 2 110 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 1- 2 116 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 0- 3 117 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 6 123 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 3- 1 124 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 3 130 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 5 131 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 4- 1 213 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 2- 5 214 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 3 220 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 221 H Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 3- 6 227 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 5- 3 228 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 4 306 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 307 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A Minn St 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.38
1011 A Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.62
1024 A UMass 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.48
1025 A UMass 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.52
1031 H Colorado Col 3- 2 1 -1 1.80
1101 H Colorado Col 5- 4 1 -1 1.80
1107 A North Dakota 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.15
1108 A North Dakota 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.15
1114 H Minn Duluth 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.49
1115 H Minn Duluth 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.51
1121 A Western Mich 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.05
1122 A Western Mich 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.05
1128 H Yale 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.51
1129 H Yale 3- 1 2 2 0.49
1212 H North Dakota 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.17
1213 H North Dakota 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.17
1219 H Augustana 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.28
1220 H Augustana 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.72
102 H Cornell 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.29
103 H Cornell 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.29
109 A St Cloud St 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.62
110 A St Cloud St 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.38
116 H Miami 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.58
117 H Miami 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.58
123 A Colorado Col 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.82
124 A Colorado Col 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.18
130 H Western Mich 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.07
131 H Western Mich 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.93
213 A Denver 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.84
214 A Denver 1- 3 -2 -2 0.16
220 H Arizona St 4- 2 2 0 + 2.00
221 H Arizona St 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.00
227 A Miami 5- 3 2 0 + 2.44
228 A Miami 2- 4 -2 0 -1.56
306 H North Dakota 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.17
307 H North Dakota 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.17
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.62 1107 A North Dakota 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.15 1121 A Western Mich 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.05 1128 H Yale 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.51 1219 H Augustana 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.28 116 H Miami 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.58 117 H Miami 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.58 221 H Arizona St 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.00 307 H North Dakota 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A Minn St 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.38 109 A St Cloud St 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.62 131 H Western Mich 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.93 1025 A UMass 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.52 1115 H Minn Duluth 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.51 1220 H Augustana 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.72 123 A Colorado Col 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.82 220 H Arizona St 4- 2 2 0 + 2.00 227 A Miami 5- 3 2 0 + 2.44 |
Omaha Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Omaha | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Omaha | |
| Army | Omaha | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Omaha | |
| Bentley | Omaha | Omaha 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Canisius | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| Holy Cross | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| Mercyhurst | Omaha | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Omaha | |
| Niagara | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| RIT | Omaha | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Omaha | |
| Rob Morris | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| Sacred Heart | Omaha | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | Omaha | |
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Minnesota | |
| Notre Dame | Omaha | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Omaha | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) | Wisconsin | |
| Augustana | Augustana | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 1) | Augustana | |
| Bemidji St | Omaha | Omaha 3- 4 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Bowl Green | Omaha | Omaha 2- 2 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Ferris St | Omaha | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) | Omaha | |
| L Superor | Omaha | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Omaha | |
| Mich Tech | Mich Tech | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Mich Tech | |
| Minn St | Omaha | Omaha 2- 3 vs 0- 1 | ||
| No Mich | Omaha | Omaha 4- 3 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Alaska | Omaha | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Omaha | |
| Alaska Anch | Omaha | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 3) | Omaha | |
| Lindenwood | Omaha | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | Omaha | |
| LIU | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| Stonehill | Omaha | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Omaha | |
| Brown | Omaha | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Omaha | |
| Clarkson | Omaha | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 0) | Omaha | |
| Colgate | Omaha | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Omaha | |
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Dartmouth | |
| Harvard | Omaha | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Omaha | |
| Princeton | Omaha | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Omaha | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 1) | Quinnipiac | |
| RPI | Omaha | Omaha 2- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Lawrence | Omaha | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) | Omaha | |
| Union | Union | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Union | |
| Yale | Omaha | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Omaha | |
| Boston Col | Boston Col | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Boston Col | |
| Boston Univ | Omaha | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Omaha | |
| Connecticut | Omaha | Omaha 3- 2 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Maine | Maine | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Maine | |
| UMass | UMass | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UMass | |
| Merrimack | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| New Hamp | Omaha | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | Omaha | |
| Northeastern | Northeastern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Northeastern | |
| Providence | Omaha | Omaha 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| UMass Lowell | Omaha | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 2) | Omaha | |
| Vermont | Omaha | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Omaha | |
| Arizona St | Omaha | Omaha 3- 4 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Colorado Col | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 6- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| St Cloud St | Omaha | Omaha 3- 4 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Western Mich | Western Mich | Western Mich |
PowerWise = 39
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 6- 2 -1.78 2.87 0.01 1.01 5.80
1 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4 -1.78 2.87 0.01 1.01 -0.89
1 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 4- 5 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.01 -0.82
1 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 5- 2 -1.64 3.00 0.01 1.01 6.08
1 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 3- 2 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 1.01 6.65
1 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 5- 4 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 1.01 6.65
1 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 7 -0.31 4.34 0.01 1.01 -0.15
1 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 -0.31 4.34 0.01 1.01 -0.15
1 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 2- 5 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 1.01 -0.33
1 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 2- 0 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 1.01 8.07
1 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 7 -0.21 4.44 0.01 1.01 -0.10
1 A Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 4 -0.21 4.44 0.01 1.01 -0.10
1 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 1- 2 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 1.01 -1.85
1 H Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 3- 1 -3.66 1.00 -0.01 1.01 2.00
1 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 4 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
1 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 3 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
1 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 7 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.01 -0.72
1 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 1 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 1.01 6.49
1 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 4- 6 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.01 -0.73
1 H Cornell (23-11, 98.5) 2- 3 -1.44 3.21 -0.01 1.01 -0.73
1 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 6- 2 -1.54 3.11 0.01 1.01 6.28
1 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 1- 2 -1.54 3.11 0.01 1.01 -0.77
1 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 0- 3 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 1.01 -0.87
1 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 6 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 1.01 -0.87
1 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 3- 1 -1.34 3.31 0.01 1.01 6.69
1 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 3 -1.34 3.31 0.01 1.01 -0.67
1 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 5 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 1.01 -0.11
1 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 4- 1 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 1.01 8.93
1 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.00 4.65 0.01 1.01 -0.01
1 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 4.65 0.01 1.01 -0.01
1 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 1.01 5.04
1 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 3- 6 -2.14 2.51 -0.01 1.01 -1.08
1 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 5- 3 -1.73 2.92 0.01 1.01 5.91
1 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 4 -1.73 2.92 0.01 1.01 -0.86
1 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
1 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 1- 5 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -0.16
------
62.08
|
winning pts = 74.5711 losing points = -12.4937
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------